Near Field Communications Handsets and Tags, NFC Pilots and Projects

Analyst: NFC mobile payments to exceed $30 billion by 2012

Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Revenues from smart posters and mobile coupons are likely to drive NFC growth over the next few years, according to a new report from UK-based Juniper Research. The study, “NFC Mobile Payments & Marketing Opportunities: Forecasts & Analysis 2009 - 2014,” predicts NFC mobile payments will exceed $30 billion within three years.

Vendors are developing and launching a variety of interim solutions such as stickers and SD cards to get NFC to market faster on existing phones rather than new NFC enabled phones, the white paper notes.


“Many people focus on the use of NFC for payments but in fact it is poised to revolutionize the way many people shop too,” said the report’s author, Howard Wilcox. “The ability to tap smart posters and receive coupons and product information also presents new channels to market for merchants. While vendors see widespread availability of NFC phones in the future, the jury is out as to whether interim solutions will attract users or actually have a detrimental effect.”

Other findings included in the research report include:

  • The first NFC devices will be shipped commercially later in 2009 and the market will ramp up from 2011.

  • NFC/Felica payments are already established in Japan but by 2014 North America and Western Europe will be experiencing high growth.

  • By 2012, NFC global gross transaction value will exceed $30 billion.

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Vimpelcom, one of Russia’s largest mobile operators, has announced plans to bring NFC-enabled mobile payments to the Moscow subway.

According to East-West Digital News, the contactless payments system will be identical to the one Vimpelcom introduced in the St. Petersburg Metro last year, which enables passengers to purchase and redeem transit tickets with a tap of a mobile phone.

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The Smart Card Alliance has announced the formation of the Mobile and NFC Council, a new industry body tasked with accelerating the adoption of NFC and raising awareness of the technology’s various capabilities.

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NFC-enabled mobile payments may not have the kind of immediate impact the likes of Google and Isis are hoping for, according to Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) fellow Jack Winters.

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American Express has announced that it is adding its Consumer, Open Small Business and Serve cards to the Isis Mobile Wallet platform.

American Express now joins Chase, Capitol One and BarclayCard in enabling its card holders to make NFC payments and collect rewards using an Isis-enabled mobile phone.

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Research firm NPD In-Stat has released a new report predicting that total mobile payment transactions – mobile payments made via NFC or bar code – will reach 9.9 billion globally in 2016, up from 1.1 billion in 2012.

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Samsung and Visa are providing their sponsored athletes and trialists at the London 2012 Olympic Games with special edition Samsung Galaxy S III handsets equipped with Visa’s payWave NFC payments application.

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